终极预测八篇答案文书考研.pdfVIP

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OnJune1sttheexpansionwillpassitsten-yearanniversarytomatchthelongest

onrecord.America’sunemploymentrateisjust3.6%.ButastheRepublicanParty

basksinitsgoodfortuneinoccupyingtheWhiteHouseatsuchatime,economists—

adoomybunch—aresufferingasenseofdread.Theyfearthatpolicymakersare

missingawonderfulopportunitytopreparethecountryforthenextrecession.(Q1，上

句和本句构成“转折+解释”关系，为重要考点。)

Q1:Theeconomists’senseofdreadareadirectresultof______.

A.acarefulpreparationforapotentialrecession

B.aneconomicsuccessoftheRepublicanParty

C.theslumpofAmerica’sunemploymentrate

D.thepolicy-makers’lackofsenseofcrisis

Nooneknowswhenthatwillbe.ThegapsinAmerica’seconomicdefencesare

notsohardtoforesee,however.Normally,whenrecessionhits,monetary

policymakersslashinterestratesinresponsetoadownturn.Withinterestratesaslow

astheyaretodaythereislittleroomtodoso.Legislationtoprovidediscretionary

stimulus(Q2定位点),suchastemporarytaxcutsorspendingbumps,canhelp.This

hasbecomeamoreimportantcomponentoftheresponsetorecessioninAmerica.

Agreeingandimplementingtaxcutsandspendingincreasestakestime,though,

andcanbeunderminedbypartisanpoliticking.(Q2，本句针对第二段进行转折，为

重要观点内容，且下文出现例证，为重要考点。)In2011,forexample,Republican

politiciansforcedafiscalpolicyofseverecontractiononaneconomythatwasstill

reelingfromthedeepestdownturninlivingmemory,withtheresultthattherecovery

wasprobablyslowerthanitotherwisewouldhavebeen.

Q2:Thediscretionarystimulusmightbehinderedby_____.

A.monetarypolicy-makers

B.politicalinterruptions

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C.unstablefiscalpolicies

D.cautiouslegislators

Ifpoliticswerenoobstacle,whatwouldbethebestwaytorespondtorecessions?

Agroupofpolicywonks(呆子)convened(召集