珠三角物流效率评价及其影响因素分析.docx

PAGE PAGE II PAGE 24 毕 业 论 文 珠三角物流效率评价及其影响因素分析 专 业 物流管理 学生姓名 刘忠国 班 级 物管141 学 号 1410043414 指导教师 李正锋 　 　 完成日期 二零一八年六月 PAGE I PAGE II 珠三角物流效率评价及其影响因素分析 摘 要：物流业作为基础性服务行业，其发展水平和质量对区域经济发展有深刻的影响。本文选取2016年珠三角地区物流业的面板数据，通过DEA法测算珠三角地区物流效率，实证结果表明，珠三角地区物流业整体效率较好，不同省份间物流业发展水平差距较大。DEA无效的省份的技术效率尤其偏低。同时利用TOBIT回归模型分析物流效率与各个影响因素直接的相关性。最后根据研究结果，结合经济新常态的特点，提出针对各个省份的不同的发展建议：DEA有效省份应当发挥带头作用，DEA非有效省份要迎头赶上。 关键词：珠三角；物流效率；影响因素；DEA；TOBIT Pearl River Delta logistics efficiency evaluation and its influencing factors Abstract: the logistics industry as a basic service industry, its development level and quality has a profound impact on the development of regional economy. This paper selects the panel data of the Pearl River Delta area in 2017 to calculate the logistics efficiency of the Pearl River Delta region by DEA method. The empirical results show that the overall efficiency of the logistics industry in the Pearl River Delta region is better, and the development level gap between the different provinces is larger. The technical efficiency of the ineffective provinces in DEA is particularly low. At the same time, TOBIT regression model is used to analyze the direct correlation between logistics efficiency and various influencing factors. Finally, according to the results of the study, combined with the characteristics of the new normal economy, this paper puts forward the different development proposals for various provinces: the effective provinces of DEA should play a leading role, the non effective provinces of DEA should catch up with each other. Key words: Pearl River Delta; logistics efficiency; influencing factors; DEA; TOBIT 目 录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \z \u 摘 要 I Abstract II 第一章 绪论 1 1.1研究背景 1 1.2研究目的与意义 1 1.2.1研究目的 1 1.2.2研究意义 1 1.3研究内容与方法 2 1.4研究技术路线 2 第二章 文献综述 4 2.1区域物流研究现状 4 2.1.1国外区域物流的研究现状 4 2.1.2国内区域物流的研究现状 4 2.2物流效率的