供应链管理教学课件电子教案全套课件三.pptx

Chapter 4Demand Forecastingin a Supply Chain;Learning Objectives;Outline;;Role of Forecasting in a Supply Chain;;Characteristics of Forecasts;;Forecasting Methods;;;Basic Approach toDemand Forecasting;;Components of an Observation;Time Series Forecasting Methods;Static Methods;;Estimating Level and Trend;Time Series Forecasting (Table 4.1);Time Series Forecasting(Figure 4.1);Deseasonalizing Demand;;;Estimating Seasonal Factors;Estimating Seasonal Factors (Fig. 4.4);Estimating Seasonal Factors;;Adaptive Forecasting;Basic Formula forAdaptive Forecasting;General Steps inAdaptive Forecasting;Moving Average;Moving Average Example;Simple Exponential Smoothing;Simple Exponential Smoothing Example;Trend-Corrected Exponential Smoothing (Holt’s Model);;;Trend- and Seasonality-Corrected Exponential Smoothing;;;Measures of Forecast Error;;Measures of Forecast Error;;;Summary of Learning Objectives;Chapter 5Aggregate Planningin the Supply Chain;;Outline;Role of Aggregate Planning in a Supply Chain;Role of Aggregate Planning in a Supply Chain;The Aggregate Planning Problem;Information Needed foran Aggregate Plan;Outputs of Aggregate Plan;Aggregate Planning Strategies;Chase Strategy;Time Flexibility Strategy;Level Strategy;Aggregate Planning at Red Tomato Tools;Fundamental Tradeoffs in Aggregate Planning;Aggregate Planning;Aggregate Planning (Define Decision Variables);Aggregate Planning(Define Objective Function);Aggregate Planning (Define Constraints Linking Variables);Aggregate Planning (Constraints);Aggregate Planning (Constraints);Aggregate Planning (Constraints);Scenarios;Increased Demand Fluctuation;Aggregate Planning in Practice;Summary of Learning Objectives;Chapter 13Transportation in the Supply Chain;Outline;Factors AffectingTransportation Decisions;Transportation Modes;Truck;Rail;Air;Package Carriers;Water;Pipeline;Intermodal;Design Options for aTransportation Network;Trade-offs in Transportation Design;Choice of Transportation Mode;Inventory Aggre