基于配额制的可再生能源动态发展系统动力学研究-中国电机工程学报.PDFVIP

第 38 卷 第 9 期 中 国 电 机 工 程 学 报 Vol.38 No.9 May 5, 2018 2018 年 5 月 5 日 Proceedings of the CSEE ©2018 Chin.Soc.for Elec.Eng. 2599 DOI ：10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.170329 文章编号：0258-8013 (2018) 09-2599-10 中图分类号：TM 74 基于配额制的可再生能源动态发展系统动力学研究 余顺坤，毕平平，杨文茵，王永利，黄玉晶，于海洋 (华北电力大学经济与管理学院、北京市 昌平区 102206) Dynamic Development System Dynamics of Renewable Energy Considering Renewable Energy Quota System YU Shunkun, BI Pingping, YANG Wenyin, WANG Yongli, HUANG Yujing, YU Haiyang (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China) ABSTRACT: Due to the complex nature of the smart grid 关键词：可再生能源；配额制；系统动力学；碳减排；动态 intertwined and constrained with each other, coupled with its 评价 development in different planning time periods of investment 0 引言 in technology and capital in the dynamic characteristics showed significant differences. The system Dynamics model of 为有效促进新能源的消纳和发展，我国在“十 the dynamic development of renewable energy considering 三五”规划中的电力体制改革阶段提出了两项重要 quota system was established, and the real data was simulated 的任务：推行可再生能源配额制(renewable portfolio by simulation. The results show that the dynamic model of the standard，RPS)和促进智能电网的发展。2016 年， renewable energy system developed in this paper can be used 政府颁布了《关于试行可再生能源绿色电力证书核 to evaluate the low carbon and high efficiency of the smart grid, and can effectively increase the carbon emission reduction by 发及自愿认购交易制度的通知》，拟在全国范围内 increasing the renewable portfolio standard (RPS) quota ratio. 试行可再生能源绿色电力证书核发和自愿认购，并 In addition, the improvement of renewable energy investment 自 2018