全球大豆及产品市场展望 - Natural Gas Macro-Economics.ppt

发言提纲 Agenda 世界油籽 World Oilseeds 大豆系列产品 Soybean Complex 市场面临的问题 Issues facing the market 与大豆种植的竞争 Competition for area to plant soybeans 生物柴油 Bio-diesel 市场预测 Forecasts CBOT大豆期货价格CBOT Soybean Futures Price 世界油籽展望 World Oilseed Outlook 世界油籽概况 World Oilseed Overview 大豆系列产品 Soybean Complex 世界大豆展望 World Soybean Outlook 世界大豆产品展望 World Product Outlook 美国的市场状况 U.S. Situation 预测 Forecasts 世界各种油籽的生产World Oilseed Production by Type 油籽产量在过去的四年里增幅较小 Oilseed production has grown little in the past 4 years 世界各产地油籽生产World Oilseed Production by Origin 前五大生产国占总产量的70％ Top 5 producers account for 70% of total output 69％的产量都在北半球 69% of output is in the Northern Hemisphere 世界各油籽出口国的出口量World Oilseed Exports by Origin 前三大生产国占总出口量的79％ Top 3 producers account for 79% of total exports 加工产品出口量未计算在数据内 Product exports are excluded from this data 世界各类油籽的出口量World Oilseed Exports by Type 世界油籽贸易中的86％为大豆贸易 World oilseed trade is 86% soybeans 世界油籽库存与使用量World Oilseed Stocks vs Use 在过去两个作物季，世界油籽库存量下降 World Oilseed Stocks have declined the past 2 seasons 世界蛋白粕生产World Protein Meal Production 豆粕产量使其它蛋白粕相形见绌 Soybean meal dwarfs the other protein types 世界各国粕类生产World Meal Production by Source 前五大生产国占总产量的73％ Top 5 producers account for 73% of total output 中国和欧盟27国加工进口油籽来满足其总需求 China and EU-27 process imported oilseeds to meet their totals 世界各国粕类产品出口World Meal Exports by Source 南美占所有粕类出口总量的63％ South American accounts for 63% of all meal exports 包括椰仁、棕榈仁、棉籽、葵花籽、大豆、菜籽、花生和鱼粉 Includes Copra, Palm Kernel, Cottonseed, Sunseed, Soybean, Rapeseed, Peanuts, and Fish 世界各粕类产品出口量World Meal Exports by Type 世界油籽粕贸易中78％为大豆粕 World oilseed meal trade is 78% soybeans 世界各类植物油生产World Veg Oil Production by Type 每年，棕榈油和大豆油为领先地位而相互竞争 Palm and Soybean Oil Production vie for leadership each year 世界各国植物油生产World Veg Oil Production by Origin 前五大生产国占总产量的6