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Peak Oil and China haze - CUP(石油峰值和中国阴霾杯)
Peak Oil and China haze
a a a a a
Yingchao Chen , Lianyong Feng , Jianliang Wang , Ke Wang , Xiaowen Ao , Pei
a a b
He , Jingxuan Feng , Willam X. Wei
aSchool of Business Administration, China University of Petroleum, Beijing 102249, China
b
Grant MacEwan University, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Abstract: The outbreaks of haze in most cities of China is mainly due to the excessive
consumption of coal and oil, while the changing of coal and oil recent years have driven partly by
the approaching peak of China conventional crude oil. We used a generalized Weng model to
predict the peak of China conventional crude oil and summarized some literature related, we
found the production of China conventional crude oil has been in the peak period and the peak oil
of China is approaching. The implicit impacts of peak oil on China haze mainly include two parts:
(1) the domestic oil supply is shortage and China’s oil import is limited in part, this has stimulated
the rapid growth of coal consumption to some extent; (2) China ’s oil import grows swift but poor
quality oil accounts for a large proportion, meanwhile, China has produced more poor quality
crude oil, that is to say, China has consumed much more poor quality oil. China haze is just one of
the impacts of peak conventional oil, the economic growth, net energy for society and carbon
emission maybe worse and worse in the near future.
Keywords: China; Peak oil; Haze; Weng model.
1. Introduction
Serious haze has appeared in China since the beginning of 2013, which almost normalization
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