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Investing in India Contents Prospects Policies Procedures Problems Prospects Healthy macro-economic fundamentals Average annual growth rate* In the 50s, 60s and 70s – 3.5% In the 80s – 5.7% During 1990-2005 – 6.0% During the last three years – 8% India is now targeting a growth of 9% plus over the next 5 years … contd Inflation moderate and averaging 4-5% pa Forex reserves of about $ 170 bn, i.e. equivalent to almost 15 months of imports Gross fiscal deficit to GDP ratio declining and currently at 3.8% External debt to GDP ratio also declining and in 2005-06 at 15.8% External trade Buoyant corporate performance Striking future projections What Goldman Sachs says - India likely to show the fastest growth over the next 30 to 50 years Growth could be higher than 5% over the next 30 years and close to 5% as late as 2050 India’s GDP will exceed Italy’s in 2016, France’s in 2019, Germany’s in 2023 and Japan’s in 2032 India to become the world’s 3rd largest economy by 2032 Basis for optimism Supply side Adequate availability of manpower and skills Over 1 billion population – 52% below the age of 25 Median age of India’s population would remain 25 even as late as in 2025 India’s workforce (20-59 age group) would go up by around 263 million by 2050 ,while of China would grow by 94 million and of USA by 11million.Other majors like Japan, Germany ,UK and France would experience a decline. Large intellectual capital base Cost competitiveness Demand side -Expanding domestic market Untapped market potential Untapped market potential Demand Side Contd. Along with expanding domestic market , export orientation developing in almost all economic activities – external trade already 36% of GDP. India becoming a hub for export of manufacturing and services – particularly to developed countries where input costs are fast rising. Sectors with Potential Automobiles and Auto ancillary Automobiles and Auto ancillary Automobiles and Auto ancillary The